Next Claude Opus released on...?
The market resolves based on the release date of the next Claude Opus model.
Polymarket$1.4K traded 24hEnds Sep 16, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 23 | 13% | — | 15¢ | |
| September 28 | 13% | — | 22¢ | |
| September 24 | 12% | — | 20¢ | |
| September 25 | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| September 29 | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| No release by September 30 | 10% | — | 16¢ | |
| September 30 | 10% | — | 15¢ | |
| September 22 | 9% | — | 16¢ | |
| September 21 | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| September 17 | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| September 18 | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| September 26 | 5% | — | 9¢ | |
| September 27 | 5% | — | 9¢ | |
| September 20 | 5% | — | 9¢ | |
| On or prior to September 16 | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| September 19 | 1% | — | 1¢ |
September 23
13%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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