How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

The market resolves based on the highest US unemployment rate in 2026.

Polymarket$6.4K traded 24hEnds Jan 31, 2027

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
5.0%	7%	−3¢	7.1¢
10.0%	4%	—	4¢
5.5%	7%	—	7.7¢
7.0%	5%	—	4.8¢
6.0%	7%	—	7¢

−3¢

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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