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PolymarketPolymarket· Macro Indicators · NFP · nonfarm payroll · Economy

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

9.5¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

91.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold Yes at 7.9¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold Yes at 7.9¢$0
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 90.8¢$5
  • 1 hour agoBought No at 90.6¢$45
  • 6 hours agoSold No at 90.3¢$18
  • 6 hours agoBought Yes at 7.9¢$20
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 6.3¢$2
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 6.9¢$1
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 7.8¢$2
  • 13 hours agoSold Yes at 7.8¢$2