Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

The market resolves based on which company's AI model first achieves a score of 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026.

PolymarketEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
None in 2026	79%	—	82¢
Anthropic	11%	—	12¢
OpenAI	5%	—	6.1¢
Alibaba	1%	—	1.2¢
Google	1%	—	1.2¢
xAI	1%	—	1.2¢
DeepSeek	<1%	—	0.5¢
Z.ai	<1%	—	0.5¢
Mistral	<1%	—	0.1¢

79%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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