Polymarket· OpenAI · AI · xAI · google

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Chance

82%

Buy Yes

82¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

19¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Polymarket, updated 16 seconds ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?1.2¢
Can’t both happenWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?12¢
Can’t both happenWill DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?0.5¢
Can’t both happenWill Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?1.2¢
Can’t both happenWill Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?0.1¢
Can’t both happenWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?6.1¢
Can’t both happenWill xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?1.2¢
Can’t both happenWill Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?0.5¢