2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the popular vote margin of victory for the Democratic Party in the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections.
PolymarketEnds Nov 2, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats 8-10% | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Democrats 6-8% | 21% | — | 21¢ | |
| Democrats 10-12% | 20% | — | 21¢ | |
| Democrats 4-6% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrats 12-14% | 7% | — | 8.2¢ | |
| Democrats 2-4% | 6% | — | 7.5¢ | |
| Republicans 0-2% | 3% | — | 4.3¢ | |
| Republicans 2-4% | 3% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| Democrats 0-2% | 2% | — | 2.4¢ | |
| Democrats 14-16% | 2% | — | 2.2¢ | |
| Democrats 16%+ | 1% | — | 1.6¢ | |
| Republicans 6%+ | 1% | — | 1.2¢ | |
| Republicans 4-6% | 1% | — | 1.1¢ |
Democrats 8-10%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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