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Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

The market resolves based on which political parties form the next government of New Zealand.

PolymarketPolymarket$42 traded 24hEnds Nov 6, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
National Party48%54¢
New Zealand First Party61%89¢
Green Party74%91¢
ACT New Zealand67%87¢
Labour Party67%88¢
Te Pāti Māori47%86¢

National Party

48%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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