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Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

The market resolves based on which candidates advance to Brazil's presidential runoff election.

PolymarketPolymarket$2.9K traded 24hEnds Oct 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva96%96.3¢
Tarcisio de Frietas2%
Flavio Bolsonaro96%96.8¢
Michelle Bolsonaro1%1.6¢
Jair Bolsonaro1%1.5¢
Renan Santos2%2.4¢
Ronaldo Caiado1%1.8¢
Romeu Zema1%1.5¢
Fernando Haddad1%0.7¢

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

96%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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