Next leader out of power before 2027?

The leader who leaves power before 2027 determines the outcome.

Polymarket$2.1K traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
Netanyahu - Israel PM	33%	—	34¢
None before 2027	33%	—	33¢
Merz - German Chancellor	16%	—	16¢
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President	4%	—	3.9¢
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP	3%	—	4.7¢
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President	3%	—	4.4¢
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President	3%	—	3.2¢
Lecornu - France PM	2%	—	2.6¢
Sánchez - Spanish PM	2%	—	2.2¢
Lula da Silva - Brazil President	2%	—	1.8¢
Putin - Russia President	1%	—	1.7¢
Erdoğan - Türkiye President	1%	—	1.3¢
Trump - USA President	1%	—	1¢
Abbas - President of Palestine	1%	—	0.8¢
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea	1%	—	1¢
Macron - France President	1%	—	0.7¢
al-Sharaa - Syria President	<1%	—	0.6¢
Newsom - California Governor	<1%	—	0.6¢
Takaichi - Japan PM	<1%	—	0.6¢
Albanese - Australia PM	<1%	—	0.4¢
Sheinbaum - Mexico President	<1%	—	0.4¢
Milei - Argentina President	<1%	—	0.4¢

33%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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