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Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

This market resolves to which initiative or decree will pass in Switzerland's November referendum.

PolymarketPolymarket$9 traded 24hEnds Nov 28, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
War Material amendment54%82¢
VAT federal decree64%72¢
Fireworks restriction initiative21%21¢

War Material amendment

54%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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