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Which Senate races will be within 5%?

This market resolves based on which US Senate races have a margin of victory within 5%.

PolymarketPolymarket$316 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Minnesota22%23¢
Montana10%11.3¢
Georgia21%21¢
North Carolina27%27¢
Nebraska45%45¢
Kansas66%70¢
New Hampshire38%38¢
Maine50%75¢
Texas83%83¢
Alaska71%73¢
Iowa67%70¢
Michigan63%64¢
Ohio (Special)56%56¢
South Carolina43%61¢
Florida (Special)25%28¢
New Mexico13%13¢
Colorado5%6.3¢
Virginia3%4.7¢

Minnesota

22%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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