Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the Arkansas Senate election.
Polymarket$25 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 10-15% | 26% | — | 26.5¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 24% | — | 24¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 14% | — | 24.5¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 6% | — | 6.1¢ | |
| Republican 40%+ | 5% | — | 9.6¢ |
Republican 10-15%
26%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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