Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory
The outcome is determined by the margin of victory for Ashley Hinson or Ryan Turek in the Iowa Senate election.
Polymarket$15 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinson 0-3% | 25% | — | 26¢ | |
| Hinson 3-6% | 24% | — | 24¢ | |
| Turek 0-3% | 16% | — | 17¢ | |
| Hinson 6-9% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Turek 3-6% | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Turek 6-9% | 5% | — | 6.5¢ | |
| Hinson 9-12% | 3% | — | 3.7¢ | |
| Turek 9-12% | 3% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Hinson 12%+ | 3% | — | 4.8¢ | |
| Turek 12%+ | <1% | — | 0.6¢ |
Hinson 0-3%
25%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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