New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory
The outcome is determined by the margin of victory for the Democratic party in the New Mexico Senate election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 18-21% | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Democrat 21%+ | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Democrat 15-18% | 15% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 6-9% | 11% | — | 20.6¢ | |
| Democrat 12-15% | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 9-12% | 5% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Democrat 3-6% | 1% | — | 1.5¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 1% | — | 1.5¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 1% | — | 1.2¢ | |
| Republican 3%+ | 1% | — | 1.4¢ |
Democrat 18-21%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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