Hawaii Governor Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the Hawaii gubernatorial election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 28% | — | 30¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 11% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 7% | — | 10.2¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 3% | — | 3.5¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | <1% | — | 0.6¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.6¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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