New Hampshire Governor Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for Ayotte or Warmington in the New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayotte 12-15% | 20% | — | 22¢ | |
| Ayotte 9-12% | 18% | — | 18¢ | |
| Ayotte 6-9% | 16% | — | 17¢ | |
| Ayotte 3-6% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Warmington 0-3% | 10% | — | 11.9¢ | |
| Ayotte 15-18% | 9% | — | 10¢ | |
| Ayotte 0-3% | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Warmington 3-6% | 3% | — | 5.4¢ | |
| Ayotte 18%+ | 2% | — | 1.7¢ | |
| Warmington 6%+ | 1% | — | 1.2¢ |
Ayotte 12-15%
20%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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