AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic or Republican party in the Alabama's 3rd congressional district House election.
Polymarket$4 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 35-40% | 27% | — | 43¢ | |
| Republican 15-25% | 21% | — | 28¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 17% | — | 17¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 16% | — | 27¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 16% | — | 27¢ | |
| Republican 0-15% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 9% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 55%+ | 5% | — | 9.9¢ | |
| Republican 50-55% | 4% | — | 8.2¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 1% | — | 1.2¢ |
Republican 35-40%
27%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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