AR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory in the AR-04 US House of Representatives election.
Polymarket$588 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 30-35% | 34% | — | 35.6¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 24% | — | 24¢ | |
| Republican 55%+ | 10% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 8% | — | 12.1¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 7% | — | 8.8¢ | |
| Republican 50-55% | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican 0-15% | 2% | — | 3.9¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 2% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 1% | — | 2.4¢ | |
| Republican 15-25% | 1% | — | 1.7¢ |
Republican 30-35%
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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