AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the AZ-09 US House of Representatives election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 15-20% | 22% | — | 23¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 20% | — | 22¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 19% | — | 21¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 19% | — | 20¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 6% | — | 6.8¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 4% | — | 7.9¢ | |
| Republican 35%+ | 3% | — | 5¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 1% | — | 1.2¢ |
Republican 15-20%
22%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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