AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican party in the AZ-08 House election determines the outcome.
Polymarket$0 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 0-3% | 19% | — | 37.4¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 18% | — | 19¢ | |
| Republican 18-21% | 16% | — | 18¢ | |
| Republican 15-18% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Republican 9-12% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Republican 6-9% | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican 12-15% | 8% | — | 13¢ | |
| Republican 3-6% | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| Republican 21%+ | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 3%+ | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Democrat 0-3%
19%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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