AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the AZ-07 House election.
Polymarket$65 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 42% | — | 49¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 27% | — | 28¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 18% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 10-20% | 4% | — | 7.3¢ | |
| Democrat 50%+ | 3% | — | 5.4¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 3% | — | 6¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 3% | — | 5.2¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 2% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | <1% | — | 0.3¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
42%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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