AZ-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic or Republican party in the Arizona's 1st congressional district House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 6%+ | 23% | — | 24¢ | |
| Democrat 3-6% | 22% | — | 23¢ | |
| Democrat 9-12% | 15% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 6-9% | 14% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 15-18% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 12-15% | 6% | — | 10.1¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 4% | — | 6.6¢ | |
| Democrat 18%+ | 4% | — | 7.3¢ | |
| Republican 3-6% | 4% | — | 6.5¢ |
Republican 6%+
23%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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