AZ-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic or Republican party in the Arizona's 2nd congressional district House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 3-6% | 24% | — | 24¢ | |
| Republican 6-9% | 18% | — | 21.4¢ | |
| Republican 9-12% | 14% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 18%+ | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democrat 3-6% | 6% | — | 9.9¢ | |
| Democrat 6%+ | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Republican 12-15% | 5% | — | 7.7¢ | |
| Republican 15-18% | 3% | — | 3¢ |
Republican 3-6%
24%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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