HI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the HI-02 US House election.
- hawaii
- hawaii's 2nd congressional district
- democratic party
- republican party
- us house of representatives
- politics
Polymarket$16 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 40-45% | 30% | — | 31¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 26% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 21% | — | 23¢ | |
| Democrat 10-20% | 10% | — | 18.3¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 6% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 1% | — | 1.8¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Democrat 50%+ | <1% | — | 0.2¢ |
Democrat 40-45%
30%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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