IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the IA-03 US House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 3-6% | 19% | — | 27.1¢ | |
| Democrat 3-6% | 18% | — | 21¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 16% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 6-9% | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 9-12% | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 15-18% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 12-15% | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 7% | — | 7.4¢ | |
| Republican 6%+ | 4% | — | 7.9¢ | |
| Democrat 18%+ | 2% | — | 4.2¢ |
Republican 3-6%
19%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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