IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in Iowa's 4th congressional district election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 35%+ | 22% | — | 41¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 20% | — | 40.2¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 20% | — | 36¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 20% | — | 21¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 9% | — | 9.7¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 9% | — | 15¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 9% | — | 10¢ |
Republican 35%+
22%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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