IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the IL-01 House election.
Polymarket$49 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 40-45% | 32% | — | 32¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 24% | — | 25¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 22% | — | 23¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 8% | — | 12.6¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 5% | — | 9.4¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 5% | — | 8.2¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 4% | — | 7.7¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 4% | — | 4.1¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 1% | — | 2.2¢ |
Democrat 40-45%
32%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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