IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic party in the IL-03 House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 45-50% | 36% | — | 37.3¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 31% | — | 32.8¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 20% | — | 20.7¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 5% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 5% | — | 9.1¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 4% | — | 6.5¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 1% | — | 1.1¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 1% | — | 1¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | <1% | — | 0.4¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
Democrat 45-50%
36%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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