IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the IL-04 House election.
- us house of representatives
- democratic party
- illinois 4th congressional district
- politics
- us politics
- us elections
Polymarket$6 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 35% | — | 40¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 33% | — | 34¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 29% | — | 34¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 9% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 9% | — | 13.5¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 5% | — | 8.7¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 1% | — | 2.2¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 1% | — | 1.5¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.5¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
35%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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