IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the IL-05 House election.
Polymarket$18 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 40-45% | 28% | — | 30¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 27% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 7% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 6% | — | 6.9¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 6% | — | 10.3¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 4% | — | 8.2¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 3% | — | 5¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 2% | — | 2.9¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.9¢ |
Democrat 40-45%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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