IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic party in the IL-07 House election.
Polymarket$13 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 70-75% | 27% | — | 29.8¢ | |
| Democrat 65-70% | 23% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 19% | — | 21.9¢ | |
| Democrat 80-85% | 12% | — | 23¢ | |
| Democrat 75-80% | 7% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Democrat 85%+ | 3% | — | 6¢ | |
| Democrat 45-55% | 2% | — | 2.8¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 2% | — | 2.8¢ | |
| Democrat 0-45% | 2% | — | 2.8¢ |
Democrat 70-75%
27%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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