IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic Party's margin of victory in the IL-09 US House election.
Polymarket$16 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 45-50% | 28% | — | 55.4¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 23% | — | 39¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 22% | — | 37¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 19% | — | 35¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 17% | — | 20¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 13% | — | 24¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 9% | — | 17.1¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 6% | — | 7.4¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 4% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 2% | — | 3.3¢ |
Democrat 45-50%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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