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IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the IL-12 House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$61 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 40-45%43%44.1¢
Republican 35-40%30%31¢
Republican 30-35%14%17¢
Republican 25-30%6%
Republican 45-50%5%8.6¢
Democrat Wins4%8.3¢
Republican 20-25%4%7.3¢
Republican 50%+2%2.8¢
Republican 10-20%1%
Republican 0-10%<1%0.2¢

Republican 40-45%

43%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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