IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the IL-15 House election.
Polymarket$6 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 30-35% | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 28% | — | 28¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 16% | — | 31.8¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 16% | — | 20¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 10% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 10-20% | 5% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 5% | — | 8.8¢ | |
| Republican 50%+ | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 4% | — | 7.9¢ | |
| Republican 0-10% | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Republican 30-35%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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