KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the KY-02 US House election.
Polymarket$289 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 35-40% | 31% | — | 32¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 26% | — | 28¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 24% | — | 25¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 17% | — | 19¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 13% | — | 19.8¢ | |
| Republican 50%+ | 1% | — | 1.8¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | <1% | — | 0.7¢ | |
| Republican 10-20% | <1% | — | 0.6¢ | |
| Republican 0-10% | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | <1% | — | 0.2¢ |
Republican 35-40%
31%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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