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KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

This market resolves to the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in the US House election for Kentucky's 5th congressional district.

PolymarketPolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 55-60%31%32¢
Republican 50-55%29%35.1¢
Republican 60-65%15%21¢
Republican 45-50%11%12¢
Republican 30-40%4%4.8¢
Republican 65-70%4%7.6¢
Republican 40-45%4%6.9¢
Republican 0-30%2%3.7¢
Democrat Wins1%1.1¢
Republican 70%+<1%0.2¢

Republican 55-60%

31%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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