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MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves to the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the MA-03 House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$22 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Democrat 35-40%41%42¢
Democrat 30-35%28%29¢
Democrat 25-30%23%25¢
Democrat 40-45%9%11¢
Democrat 20-25%6%
Democrat 0-5%3%5.4¢
Democrat 45%+3%4.7¢
Democrat 15-20%2%2.9¢
Republican Wins1%2.7¢
Democrat 5-15%1%1.7¢

Democrat 35-40%

41%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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