MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves to the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in the US House election for Maryland's 1st congressional district.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 18-21% | 20% | — | 20¢ | |
| Republican 12-15% | 13% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 15-18% | 13% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 9-12% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 6-9% | 7% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Republican 3-6% | 5% | — | 8¢ | |
| Republican 21%+ | 5% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Democrat 3%+ | 3% | — | 4.1¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 2% | — | 2.2¢ |
Republican 18-21%
20%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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