MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the MD-02 House election.
Polymarket$33 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 25-30% | 36% | — | 37¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 33% | — | 36¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 11% | — | 19¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 9% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 5% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 4% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 3% | — | 5.1¢ | |
| Democrat 40%+ | 1% | — | 2.6¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 0.9¢ |
Democrat 25-30%
36%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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