MD-03 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the MD-03 US House election.
Polymarket$18 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 15-20% | 24% | — | 46.8¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 21% | — | 40.8¢ | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 16% | — | 21.5¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 15% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 15% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 12% | — | 15.1¢ | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 8% | — | 14.5¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 6% | — | 9.7¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 6% | — | 10.3¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.5¢ |
Democrat 15-20%
24%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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