MD-05 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic Party's margin of victory in the MD-05 US House election.
Polymarket$46 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 40-45% | 19% | — | 20¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 11% | — | 15.4¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 11% | — | 21.7¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 10% | — | 11.9¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 8% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Democrat 40-45%
19%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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