ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
The outcome depends on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the ME-01 House election first round.
Polymarket$28 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 30% | — | 31¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 19% | — | 20¢ | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 16% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 12% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 9% | — | 10.3¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 8% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 5% | — | 8.6¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.6¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 1% | — | 0.9¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
30%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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