MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the Democratic or Republican party in the MI-04 House election determines the outcome.
Polymarket$18 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 12%+ | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 13% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 3-6% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Republican 6-9% | 11% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican 3-6% | 10% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 7% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 6-9% | 7% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 9-12% | 6% | — | 11.3¢ | |
| Republican 9-12% | 5% | — | 8.5¢ | |
| Democrat 12%+ | 4% | — | 7¢ |
Republican 12%+
14%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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