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MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in the MI-05 House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$105 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 20-25%33%34¢
Republican 25-30%33%33¢
Republican 30-35%23%25¢
Republican 15-20%10%12.6¢
Republican 10-15%1%
Democrat Wins1%1.3¢
Republican 0-10%1%1.1¢
Republican 40%+<1%0.4¢
Republican 35-40%<1%0.3¢

Republican 20-25%

33%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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