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MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Outcome depends on the margin of victory for the winning party in the Michigan's 9th congressional district House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$18 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 30-35%26%29¢
Republican 35-40%21%23¢
Republican 20-25%18%21¢
Republican 25-30%14%17¢
Republican 0-5%11%15¢
Republican 40-45%10%12¢
Republican 45%+6%9.7¢
Republican 5-15%5%9.9¢
Republican 15-20%4%6.7¢
Democrat Wins1%2.4¢

Republican 30-35%

26%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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