MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic Party's margin of victory in the MN-04 House election.
Polymarket$3 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 50-55% | 29% | — | 56.2¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 18% | — | 34.9¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 17% | — | 32.5¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 16% | — | 29.8¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 16% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 14% | — | 15.9¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 14% | — | 19.3¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 6% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.4¢ |
Democrat 50-55%
29%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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