MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the MO-01 House election determines the outcome.
Polymarket$118 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 60-65% | 48% | — | 52¢ | |
| Democrat 65-70% | 31% | — | 33¢ | |
| Democrat 70-75% | 13% | — | 15¢ | |
| Democrat 35-45% | 8% | — | 12.1¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 7% | — | 11.1¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 6% | — | 11.7¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 4% | — | 7.8¢ | |
| Democrat 75%+ | 4% | — | 6.2¢ | |
| Democrat 0-35% | 3% | — | 4.9¢ |
Democrat 60-65%
48%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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