MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican candidate in the Missouri's 4th congressional district House election.
- missouri's 4th congressional district
- democratic party
- republican party
- politics
- us politics
- us elections
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 30%+ | 66% | — | 67.6¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 16% | — | 19¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 14% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 4% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 3% | — | 5.3¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 2% | — | 3.7¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 1% | — | 0.8¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | <1% | — | 0.3¢ |
Republican 30%+
66%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
Discussion
Posts and calls about this event
Live room
Connecting…Loading…
Sign in to chat in the room.