MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the MS-01 House election in the first round.
Polymarket$47 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 30-35% | 40% | — | 41¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 24% | — | 25¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 21% | — | 23¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 12% | — | 15¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 4% | — | 7.2¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 4% | — | 6.7¢ | |
| Republican 5-15% | 3% | — | 6.2¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 3% | — | 6¢ | |
| Republican 45%+ | 3% | — | 5.8¢ |
Republican 30-35%
40%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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