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MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

The market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the first round of the MS-02 House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$27 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Democrat 20-25%26%27¢
Democrat 25-30%19%20¢
Democrat 15-20%18%33¢
Democrat 30-35%14%14¢
Democrat 35-40%10%13¢
Democrat 0-5%10%11¢
Democrat 5-15%4%
Democrat 40-45%4%
Republican Wins3%4.9¢
Democrat 45%+3%

Democrat 20-25%

26%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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